And as long as we're trolling WaPo, D.C. consultant Ed Rogers has a great column that breaks down the 2008 GOP presidential primary. Rogers articulates a basic point very well:
Rogers then asserts that, barring an enormous surprise, the GOP only has four candidates who can really do that: Mitt Romney, John McCain, Rudy Guiliani, and Newt Gingrich. Romney's got the Mormon thing, Giuliani has the mistress and the pro-choice thing, and Gingrich has the messy divorce and most everyone hates him thing. There'd be a fifth horse in the race, a conservative horse, except George Allen went all Barbaro on election night.
Given the field and the fact that McCain has been plucking key staffers from the Bush campaign to lay the ground game in states like South Carolina, McCain may actually be the prohibitive favorite at this point. Who would've thought?
Also, now I see why so many bloggers just link to articles. It requires practically no thought.
The GOP nominating process, perhaps now more than ever, favors front-runners and candidates with a national fundraising base. With the first voting just 14 months away, a contender will probably need at least $60 million before the balloting even starts.
Rogers then asserts that, barring an enormous surprise, the GOP only has four candidates who can really do that: Mitt Romney, John McCain, Rudy Guiliani, and Newt Gingrich. Romney's got the Mormon thing, Giuliani has the mistress and the pro-choice thing, and Gingrich has the messy divorce and most everyone hates him thing. There'd be a fifth horse in the race, a conservative horse, except George Allen went all Barbaro on election night.
Given the field and the fact that McCain has been plucking key staffers from the Bush campaign to lay the ground game in states like South Carolina, McCain may actually be the prohibitive favorite at this point. Who would've thought?
Also, now I see why so many bloggers just link to articles. It requires practically no thought.
2 comments:
In case no one bothered to check out the link, you missed Ed's best line when he said that following the Allen campaing was like "watching a snuff film"
That made my day
Mike Huckabee.
No, seriously. Watch him.
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