Thursday, January 31, 2008

I guess this means Nancy Reagan is a RINO...

From Drudge:

EXCLUSIVE: NANCY REAGAN FOR MCCAIN, TOP SOURCE TELLS DRUDGE: 'SHE ADORES HIM, AND IS FULLY SUPPORTING HIM IN HER PRIVATE LIFE. SHE WILL NOT PUBLICLY ENDORSE'...

What's better are the wingnut responses on Free Republic among the reactionary jerk-offs who think they they have a better understanding of what Ronald Reagan would want than his wife:

Looks like McCain just wrapped up the senelity vote.

Nancy, you are a disgrace to the memory of your husband.

I guess Nancy is fond of men who are in their dotage.

You stay classy, wingnuts.

The problem the with the conservative extremists is that Reagan was never their guy to begin with, even when he was in office. While Reagan embodied conservatism in a very general sense, he often took pragmatic approaches to governance that were anything but conservative.

He wasn't perfect but I have a world of respect for Ronald Reagan. I think that, on the whole, he did a good job as President. But the difference is that I'm basing my opinion on what actually happened, while conservative and liberal wackjobs choose to deify or demonize him based on this terrible caricature they've created of what he and his presidency supposedly were.


Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Well, that only took eight years.

Eight years ago in February, I penned a column in the Badger Herald explaining why John McCain was the best nominee for the Republican Party after eight years of Bill Clinton. It explained George W. Bush's many failures as governor of Texas, and expressed concern regarding his ability to competently govern.

Republicans, sadly, didn't agree with me, and I cast my ballot for Harry Browne that November.

George W. Bush has subsequently proved me right at pretty much every fork in the road. In 2004, I voted for John Kerry, as did many Republicans who were completely disillusioned not only with Bush, but with what Bush cronies like Tom DeLay were turning the Republican Party into. It wasn't a vote for Kerry so much as a vote for someone who wasn't George W. Bush.

So tonight, I will refrain from gloating about how I was right all along. John McCain isn't perfect, and there are many in the party who will find reason to disagree with this thing or that thing. But of all the candidates, the Republicans have no better option to govern effectively. And frankly, Republicans have no other viable option to win.

McCain is here eight years too late. But he's still here, and at this point, he is most likely the presumptive nominee. Romney is done. He will get swept off the medal podium next Tuesday, and then it will all be over.

For those of us who have quietly sat in exile for eight years, waiting for the lunatic fringe of the party to steer the ship into the iceberg, we might finally have a chance to come out of the woodwork again. Maybe this is still my party after all.

Now pardon me, I have to get back to reading the forums at Free Republic and laughing my ass off. The sooner they all drink their grape Kool-Aid, the sooner the Republican Party can put itself back together again.

Sunday, January 13, 2008

In predictable fashion, the Cowboys roll over.

Seriously, the Cowboys played like hell the last five weeks of the season. The only people who could be surprised by their magnificent flop at home against the Giants tonight are some of the prolific southeast Wisconsin bloggers who haven't figured out that the Cowboys aren't the home team in Wisconsin. I think some of them also picked Mark Green to win by seven against Doyle.

Bad judgment from southeast Wisconsin? Who knew such a thing was possible?

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Hillary dead

Sadly for so many knuckle draggers, it's not the one they'd hope for.

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Let's talk about COLAs

Hello Assembly Republicans!

A number of your staff have brought it to my attention that, for the first time in ages, you're reportedly going to discuss cost of living adjustments for Assembly staff during your caucus today.

If you're keeping track at home, the last COLA that Assembly staff received was after the passage of the 2001-03 budget. In fact, it's been so long that many new legislators (staffers too!) have confused the COLA with the optional merit increase that staffers are eligible for on the anniversary date of their hire. Many of you routinely sign off on merit increases for your staff, but those of you who do should know that there are other legislators who don't.

Now, I'm sitting on copies of staff salaries for the last handful of years. You should know that many of your staff have seen these documents, if they don't have copies themselves. There are certainly enough copies in circulation, beyond what WisPolitics releases for public consumption. Before any of you get your panties in a knot, remember that these lists are public documents. No office that has them could reasonably refuse a request from me to turn them over, nor could Pat Fuller. But Pat's a busy man and there's no sense in bothering him.

So there are no secrets, which is something leadership should keep in mind. Everyone has a pretty good idea of what everyone else is making. But I'm guessing many in the Republican caucus probably don't. So as a public service, I'm going to post the salaries of every GOP staffer in second floor west, as of January 2007. I'm not posting names, because that's not relevant. We'll leave that to WisPolitics.

$86,124
$75,516
$69,840
$68,688
$68,556
$67,908
$61,164
$60,000
$46,992
$41,388
$36,432


If you're doing the math at home, that's a median salary of $67,908 and an average salary of $62,055.

I think most staffers who have been around for awhile would tell you overwhelmingly that the professionalism and talents of Scott Jensen's staff far exceeded anything that John Gard or Mike Huebsch has put on the table. I think their results were a lot better too, both in terms of having a cohesive agenda, an aggressive media plan, and a system that brought home additional seats cycle after cycle. The proof is in the pudding. Under Jensen, legislative majorities grew in every election. Since then, there was a negligible gain in 2004 and the Assembly got looted in 2006. And don't blame Iraq, either. 1998 was a terrible year for Republicans nationally because of the impeachment silliness and Jensen still managed to pick up seats.

But as you can also see, that doesn't stop Team Jensen's replacements from raking it in, so to say. Leadership staff aren't starving, by any stretch of the imagination.

Some of you should now ask your staffers what they're making (in case you've forgotten). Take those numbers and compare them to the numbers I listed above. Now think about the fact that in many instances, the work that leadership staff is doing is virtually identical to the work your staff is doing.

Time and again in recent years, the folks in second floor west have turned their pockets inside out and made the sad face when it comes to staff salaries. No money, they said. We can't afford cost of living adjustments. But as you can see by these numbers, your leaders have had no problems handsomely rewarding their own staff. Furthermore, the Senate never once found itself in the same predicament even though it too had to tighten its belt.

But here's the other kicker. Leadership has also, on more than one occasion, exercised its discretion to boost the salaries of certain staffers for reasons that defy the logic of many of their colleagues. The people who have received the golden tickets aren't people who are necessarily recognized by their colleagues as being the most ambitious or the the most productive.

Now, if these increases were based on merit, perhaps the equitable thing to do would be to distribute benchmarks for merit increases so that all staff could work towards receiving them. Short of that, the only logical reason to assume is favoritism.

Some of you might say "well, if staff don't like what they make, they can always leave." If you're one of them, that's a terrible attitude to have towards people whose sole job is to make you look good. Furthermore, if you'd look around, you'd see that you're already getting your wish. See how many people are having their little parties or soirées because they got a lobbying position, or they're taking a job in another city, or they're going back to school. Frankly, there aren't so many opportunities in town for Republicans these days - most lobbying firms and interest groups don't see much use for Republican staffers given the Democratic wind that's blowing. But that isn't stopping your staffers from trying. Lobbying gigs. Private sector work. Agency jobs. You name it, they're on it right now.

And why not? The Assembly Republican leadership reeks of social promotion, where everyone hires their friends. So if you're not one of the cool kids, you're stuck getting 2.6% a year, and that's only if your boss is willing to sign off on the paperwork and you're not redlined. Every day, you go to work and do your best, even though you know there's someone sitting around in a five-person leadership office who's making 20, 30, 40 grand more than you to do work that's no harder than what's on your desk.

And then leadership wonders why so many of its veteran staff don't want to help out on races anymore? Look how badly they've treated them since Jensen left. Some of them would rather go home and mow their lawn. Some of them have to go to their second job at 5 o'clock since you've done nothing to keep their salaries from falling further and further behind the rate of inflation.

I'm not saying that staff should be treated like royalty - but the fact is, you haven't even given them the same cost of living adjustments that you give to represented employees in their contracts. And when you work in the Legislature, there's virtually no opportunity for upward mobility. You guys threw most of that out the window when you abolished the caucuses.

Your staff are talking about this. Leadership staff knows they're talking about it, too. I think they got asked about it at just about every staff meeting they held Monday.

If each of you worked from home one or two more times a month instead of coming to the Capitol, that would offset the cost of the adjustments right there. Remember, your staff show up for work every day, and none of them are getting an $88 tax-free gift just for gracing your office with their presence. They also don't get the luxury of bringing their newborns in and using their co-workers for babysitters, like some of you do. They pay for daycare, like regular people.

I know most of you like and respect your staff. And you should. Most of them work pretty darn hard to make you look good. A couple of them probably play a little solitaire on their computer from time to time, but hey, I used to see you guys on the floor every time you were in. From the parlor, anyone can see that you guys play a lot of solitaire on the job too.

Your respect and appreciation are great, but it's not helping your staff to pay their heating bills this winter. If leadership can bring their staffers silver and gold, they should be able to find a little something for your staff too. So maybe when the topic comes up in caucus, you should stand up for them. Whether they'll admit it to you or not, they need your help on this one.

(Oh, and staff? Feel free to print this and leave it for your boss before s/he heads over to the Madison Club. As your appointing authorities, they probably deserve a more complete picture of this situation than what, based on history, leadership will likely present to them.)

Sunday, January 06, 2008

Republican Debate live blog

I have a feeling this is going to suck hard. Let's see if I'm right. If I am, I may switch over to American Gladiators at 8.

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Romney and Huckabee are slap fighting over their tax records. Both raised some taxes/fees, but Romney seems hell bent on getting Huckabee to say something that he can take out of context. Damn, Romney's as obnoxious in person tonight as his ads.
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Rudy says something things on taxes and only said 9/11 once, I think. Refreshing.
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Thompson talks about his Social Security plan. Others throw in some ideas. It's funny how the other candidates have largely spoken of their own plans and ideas and Romney keeps trying to attack everyone else.
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Huckabee's in his fair tax schtick, and Thompson made a funny. Who told Huckabee to wear a lime green tie with, what are those, paisleys? Huckabee wants to give me an opportunity to pay a 30% consumption tax after I already paid 28% on that income. What is that, an aggregate tax rate of 50%? Unless Huckabee finds a way to only collect a consumption tax on future income and not past income, there's going to be a nasty, nasty, period of double taxation.
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Rudy says he kicked some welfare ass in the 90's because he loved the people. Tough love Rudy.
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Thompson points out that the FairTax is loopy and likely unpassable. Funny that when questioned about his equally unpassable Social Security plan, he said that he would stand in and fight. When asked about Huckabee's FairTax plan, he says "roll over and do something practical." HYPOCRISY ALERT!
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McCain loses two points for using the phrase "agent of change." Bashes Rumsfeld, minus two points because that's just so damn easy. McCain is recycling all his material from the beginning.
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Wow, Chris Wallace teed up Romney for more negativity and Romney passed. WTF? Mitt Romney thinks America is crying out for a millionaire, silver spoon, corporate reformer. Interesting. McCain is responding but seriously, can we let people who aren't Romney and McCain talk? This two-man show that Wallace is allowing is a bit unfair.
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Thompson looks a lot better tonight. Better lighting? Better makeup? Now Rudy Giuliani is recycling his "change" schtick from last night and from the trail. It's one thing to use the same stump speech 100 times in front of 100 different audiences. He should probably mix it up a little bit when he's on television. (Commercial break around 7:35 p.m.)
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Ugh, more Romney/McCain? Romney is trying to make the argument that governors are better prepared than senators to lead. I think had it not been for 9/11, he'd be right. But voters seem to want a leader with foreign policy experience, and so the Senate might be a better recruiting ground for presidents in the future than the statehouse. Guys like Romney and Huckabee (and for that matter, Giuliani) have virtually no firsthand experience in the international arena.
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Mitt Romney is boring.
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Wallace is railing on Huckabee's foreign policy screw-ups. Huckabee is bragging that he traveled a lot. Good for him, he needed to order the extra pages for his passport. He was also governor of a dirt-poor state for really long time. Huzzah! Ooooh, minus five points for overuse of "blood on their boots and medals on their chests." Again guys, stop reading your stump speeches.
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Rudy is arguing that his experience as mayor was more than just 9/11, and yet oddly, that's all Rudy ever wants to talk about. They don't call him Rudy 9iu11ani for nothing.
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Thompson takes a fantastic swipe at Mitt about believing that experience matters in all areas except national security. Note to Team McCain: another fruit basket is owed the Thompson campaign. Thompson also invokes the name of Ted Kennedy to slam Romney. Geez, it's like Fred knows he needs Romney out of this race to have any chance of turning things around.
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McCain's gonna get bin Laden. He's also been endorsed by a bunch of old military guys and Secretary of Defense. Should one really brag about that Kissinger endorsement?
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It's funny that Mitt Romney's negative ads are essentially the framework for all of Wallace's questions. That's not good for Romney because it gives everyone an opportunity to refute him and, indirectly, call him a liar.
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Ugh, more Romney/McCain immigration BS. Zzzzzzzzzzzzz. McCain seems tired of talking about this. Good. The rest of us are tired of hearing the two of them beat this same dead horse over and over again.
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Huckabee and Giuliani make more sense on immigration than either Romney or McCain. Giuliani, in particular, shows a common-sense approach to immigration. If the people are there and the feds aren't going to remove them, you might as well educate them and keep them healthy before they move to the streets and resort to crime as a way of life. (Commercial break at 8:10)
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McCain and Huckabee to Romney: wow, you're wasting a lot of money on a bunch of ads that don't work. Romney says he's run a lot of positive ads too with his deep pockets in the past year. Well, just not any in the last four weeks. Romney is trying to argue the difference between a negative ad and a contrast ad. Sorry, they're all the same. Ask the people. They usually work but people hate them all the same.
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Huckabee uses the NYT's analysis of a Romney ad to argue that the ad was misleading. Um, know your crowd, Huckster? Sure you want to use the NYT as irrefutable evidence?
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American Gladiators is hilarious. They've barely updated the show from its heyday 15 years ago. Dear writers: please come back.
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Wallace to Giuliani: you're a fool who appoints criminals and assigns police to chauffeur his mistress. Care to respond? Rudy deflects nicely, talks about learning from mistakes. Wallace: do you have mob ties? Giuliani: deflects.
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Wallace to McCain: you're really flippin' old. Care to respond? This is an interesting series of questions. Huckabee says he's met McCain's mother and she's got lots of spunk. She also hates Mormons, but Huckabee graciously leaves that part out.
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Wallace to all candidates: why do you think you can win? Oooh, these are going to be canned responses. Time for Gladiators.
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And we're done. Verdict: snoozefest. This didn't change anyone's mind.

Debate thoughts

Republicans:

I appreciate the seriousness of Romney's purpose. Romney, unfortunately, can't take a joke, which he proved by always needing the last word whenever someone goofed on him. It's also clear that everyone on stage hates him, probably because he won't stop attacking them on television. Mark Salter, a McCain adviser, hit the nail on the head when he said that Romney carpet bombs his opponents from 30,000 feet, and then gets in the ring and gets roughed up a bit and starts whining. Karma's a bitch, and Romney got everything he had coming last night.

Here's Romney's problem. I think Romney would do a great job managing government. I think Romney knows he's more qualified than any other candidate to do that. But Romney's political career is so bereft of ideological principle that he comes off as someone who doesn't care what he has to say in order to win.

Rudy turned in a nice showing, and "Ronald Reagan did amnesty - he actually did amnesty - I think he'd be in one of Mitt's negative commercials" was perhaps the best line of the night.

Did Fred Thompson mention one thing he'd do? He seemed content to be John McCain's attack dog. His content is fine but someone needs to tell him to get some sleep. He's six years younger than McCain but looks twenty years older. That nobody bothers to address him directly shows that nobody's numbers find him to be a credible threat. He did land a couple of nice shots on Romney, and the McCain campaign should send him a fruit basket for that.

Ron Paul is certifiable. He makes some excellent points, but then he starts treading into discussions of the gold standard and everyone rolls their eyes. He might well be right, but if nobody takes him seriously, it doesn't do a lick of good.

Mike Huckabee held is own. He clearly was trying to keep a low profile, and largely succeeded. He made some good points and largely stayed out of the line of fire. He'll be in good shape for South Carolina.

Winner: John McCain. He sat back, threw some punches with a smile, and barely had anyone pay any attention to him. He's poised to win big on Tuesday, especially with Romney fading.

------------

Democrats:

Barack Obama sounds nice on television, but Hillary makes a good point in highlighting her own record: what the hell has Barack Obama ever done in his life that convinces people he's able to make good on his promises of change? This is a guy who, in his career in the Illinois Senate, voted "present" on one controversial bill after another. That's change? That's leadership? Democrats should be terrified that at some point the press scrutinizes Obama, because if they do, the balloon will burst. Obama is nothing other than a more articulate and less accomplished version of Mitt Romney. And his snide crack to Hillary about "you're likeable enough" seemed snarky and rude.

Didn't John Edwards just take possession of a new 28,000 square foot "house" in North Carolina? Why's he so damn angry?

I thought the point of the night actually came from Bill Richardson, when he indirectly came to Hillary's defense against monkey see and monkey do. Richardson's point: experience matters. What Edwards and Obama seek to do by trying to pin Hillary to the status quo is conceal their own woeful lack of experience and accomplishment in public life.

The Democrats are stuck with an interesting dilemma. Clinton is hands-down their most experienced candidate. She's also their most divisive candidate. If they go with one of the change peddlers, say Obama, they run the risk that he's going to end up in a general election with someone like John McCain, who will him seem every bit as inexperienced as he really is.

Oh, and for the record, the word 'change' was uttered 63 times by the Democratic candidates.

Winner: Hillary Clinton. Not because her performance will keep her from losing in New Hampshire, but because it may be a sign that Team Clinton is finally willing to rough Obama up a little bit. If the press joins in and does to Obama what it did to Huckabee, the Democratic primary is only just starting to get interesting.

Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Ain't that the truth...

"What I have to do is make sure that my anger with a guy like Romney, whose teeth I want to knock out, doesn't get in the way of my thought process." - Ed Rollins

The best part about punching Romney in the mouth is that he'd have to review his polling book to decide whether to fight back and, if so, how. By then, you could kick him in the nuts too.

Tuesday, January 01, 2008

David Brooks nails the problem with Romney

David Brooks in today's NYT...

(Romney's) biggest problem is a failure of imagination. Market research is a snapshot of the past. With his data-set mentality, Romney has chosen to model himself on a version of Republicanism that is receding into memory. As Walter Mondale was the last gasp of the fading New Deal coalition, Romney has turned himself into the last gasp of the Reagan coalition...

If any Republican candidate is going to win this year, he will have to offer a new brand of Republicanism. But Romney has tied himself to the old brand. He is unresponsive to the middle-class anxiety that Huckabee is tapping into. He has forsaken the trans-partisan candor that McCain represents. Romney, the cautious consultant, is pivoting to stress his corporate competence, and is rebranding himself as an Obama-esque change agent, but he will never make the sort of daring break that independent voters will demand if they are going to give the G.O.P. another look.

The leaders of the Republican coalition know Romney will lose. But some would rather remain in control of a party that loses than lose control of a party that wins. Others haven’t yet suffered the agony of defeat, and so are not yet emotionally ready for the trauma of transformation. Others still simply don’t know which way to turn. (emphasis added)

And so the burden of change will be thrust on primary voters over the next few weeks. Romney is a decent man with some good fiscal and economic policies. But in this race, he has run like a manager, not an entrepreneur. His triumph this month would mean a Democratic victory in November.

Reminds me of a few days ago when I said this...

(The establishment is) fighting to retain the political orthodoxy that has provided them with a livelihood. They're not concerned about the GOP. They're concerned about maintaining the status quo that sends them a paycheck every two weeks.

The Reagan coalition has grown apart. There's no love in the marriage anymore. Such things happen over times in politics. But instead of trying to figure out how to solve the puzzle now, Romney's supporters want desperately to make things how they used to be. Problem is, there's no going back.

Romney's twenty years too late. He would've been a great presidential candidate in 1988.
 
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