Well, the off-year election has concluded. Both sides will try to put their best spin on last night's efforts, but there's one story that is far more captivating than the others.
It's not Virginia, where for the last 30 years, control of the governor's office has fallen comfortably into the arms of whatever party didn't control the White House.
It's not New Jersey, where the governor's office has switched between parties 15 times in the last 100 years.
Republicans will work to find meaning in both races, but history indicates there's not much meaning to find. Gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia are so predictably unstable that it would be foolish to read too much into the results.
However, there's a little hamlet in the northern reaches of New York that will be seeing its first Democratic representative in Congress since not long after the Civil War.
Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman had the vocal (and in some cases, financial) support of Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Mark Levin, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Santorum, Gary Bauer, Fred Thompson, the Club for Growth, and a host of other high-powered, supposedly influential conservatives. He represented the hopes and dreams of conservative activists all across America. His insurgent campaign was to be the clarion call of the right wing, a signal to all that the conservative, teabagging wing of the Republican Party would be the one to lead the GOP out of the political wilderness.
Hoffman was the conservative candidate in New York's 23rd Congressional District, a district that hadn't seen Democratic representation in Congress in seven generations. He was able to run liberal Republican Dede Scozzafava clear out the race with his alleged momentum.
Should be a slam dunk, right?
Nope. All it got Hoffman was a fat four-point loss in a district that hasn't elected a Democrat since before the invention of the radio, the gasoline engine, and blue jeans.
Yes, some of you will carp about Scozzafava and her vile, turncoat ways. But let me pose this question: would you also tell me that Dede Scozzafava was more influential among Republicans in NY-23 than the combined forces of Limbaugh, Hannity, Palin, Levin, and all of the other prominent conservatives who in part staked their own reputation as movers and shakers on this race? Is a woman nobody heard of two months ago stronger than all of those folks put together?
If so, what does that say about your fearless leaders, aside from the fact that they like to cash the checks you hand them by listening to their shows and buying their crappy books?
Doug Hoffman couldn't win as the conservative darling in a seat where voter registration advantage is GOP +12. He couldn't win with the conservative movement's biggest, baddest windbags blowing their copious amounts of hot air firmly into his sails.
You mean there are some Republican-leaning districts that strident conservatives can't win? But here I thought conservatives could win everywhere. Isn't that what Doug Hoffman's
self-professed mentor, Glenn Beck, tells us every day?
Those in the Tea Party movement beat their chests and caterwaul a whole lot, but in their first major test of credibility and relevance, they lost a seat that a rational person would've thought near-impossible for the GOP to lose.
Last night will be a huge victory for Republicans if the GOP is smart enough to learn the correct lessons from it. The successes of Chris Christie in New Jersey and Bob McDonnell in Virginia tell us that there is still a place in politics for intelligent, pragmatic, reasonable Republicans. And the defeat of Doug Hoffman in a solidly Republican district provides a clear road map of how
not to get back to the majority.