That is, unless you ask for a statistical analysis from college dropout Scott Walker, in which case you'll get a pile of sketchy preliminary data and a lot of BS from DWD Secretary Reggie Newson.
At a time when government jobs statistics are under scrutiny as never before, preliminary data released Thursday showed that Wisconsin lost an estimated 6,200 private-sector jobs in April.Wisconsin's job growth is apparently a very special kind of job growth that hides itself from the BLS' most convention and widely-used metric.
April showed the second consecutive month of private-sector job losses in the state, according to the preliminary data from the state Department of Workforce Development.
Meanwhile, again according to the preliminary data, Wisconsin's state government added 500 jobs while the state's cities and counties shed jobs. Adding in the net job gains in the government sector, the state lost an estimated total of 5,900 jobs in April from March.
The state's unemployment rate, which comes from a separate monthly survey of households rather than employers, declined to 6.7% in April from 6.8% in March, the preliminary data show.
Thursday's numbers come amid an unprecedented level of skepticism about the validity and reliability of the monthly state jobs report.
Earlier in the week, Gov. Scott Walker released fourth-quarter employment data - not due for formal release until June 28 - showing Wisconsin added over 23,000 public and private sector jobs last year.
It was an unusual step for Walker because the numbers had not been fully vetted by federal authorities at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The new figures from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages - which is collected from 95% of the state's private and public sector employers and deemed reliable by most economists - contrast sharply with more than a year's worth of monthly employment surveys, which suggested that Wisconsin lost 33,900 jobs last year, ranking it last among the 50 states.
Keep promising those unicorns, Governor.
6 comments:
Ok. Just admit that you bought the 3.5% rigged data from the feds even though no other indicator matched those numbers. The numbers released by Newsome come from 160,000 business filings and are by far, the most accurate way to judge jobs.
The BLS data should have resulted in many more unemployment filings. Did not happen.
Personal income should have gone down. Instead, it went up.
SO I guess your point is that Team Walker inflated these raw numbers? Right. I am sure the lifers at DWD, certainly most of whom would like to see Walker ousted, would keep silent if erroneous numbers were put out.
Clearly, the release of this data has political overtones - big surprise. But show me how the data is wrong, not just politically inconvenient to those of you who simply dislike Walker.
You expect credibility when your first sentence indicates that its the federal government that's so vested in Wisconsin as to start rigging data?
Look, I spent enough time in state government to watch state agencies run by both parties play politically convenient games with internal data. Doyle's people were especially masterful at this stuff. But to suggest the feds care reminds me of that old Dennis Miller routine, the one that ends with "The biggest conspiracy has always been the fact that there is no conspiracy. Nobody's out to get you. Nobody gives a shit whether you live or die. There, you feel better?"
Ok. The fed data was not manipulated. It was just wrong. No tinfoil hats here.
But how does Walker get manipulated data out of DWD?
The JS and Scott Walker didn't mind Fed data in February..wonder why....
http://www.jsonline.com/business/state-added-4000-privatesector-jobs-in-february-gb4mnca-143840086.html
Only Walker would have the balls to run an ad that takes these 2011 non broken down, unverfied numbers that seem to be a near virgin birth if you listen to the DWD Secretary plus the positive 2012 job numbers from the "untrustworthy source" combining them for a positive spin. However, the 2012 negative job numbers from this "untrustworthy source" should not be counted. Nearly month "the tools" have been on the books, the state loses jobs, the only bright spot is that the neighboring states don't so they create jobs for all the people close to Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan and Illinois to work.
RS - Let me back up a minute on your other comment about credibility. Yes, I think the feds have an eye on Wisconsin enough to warrant shenanigans. And according to a post by Dave Blaska (an evil conservative) he points out:
"If you’re still quibbling over the job census showing 23,000 jobs gained during 2011, please be advised that it was prepared by civil servant Dennis Winters, head of the Office of Economic Advisors at the Wisconsin Department of Economic Development. Winters, BTW, signed the recall petition. I know Dennis; he’s no Republican!"
So I ask, if Walker is fudging the numbers, how did he get them past Dennis Winters?
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