Turn the lights out.

If one assumes that the polls from the 2010 Walker/Barrett race are a rough guide, we know that those polls taken in the two weeks prior to the election, when averaged, almost nailed Walker's final number.  Walker averaged 52.0 percent in polls versus 52.3 on election day, a difference of .6 percent from what was projected.  We also know that those polls underestimated Barrett's final number by about 7.6 percent of his projected total; 43.3 percent in polls vs. 46.6 percent on election day.

Right now, over the last two weeks, Walker is ahead an average of 52-44 among the three polls taken.  If we assume the model from 2010 holds, that would put the final results as follows:

Walker - 52.3% (no change from 2010)
Barrett - 47.3% (a 1.5% improvement in his number from 2010)

Barring a major shake-up in the next day (like Walker being criminally charged), I don't think anything is going to move these numbers considerably from where they are now.  There aren't enough undecided voters for Barrett to make anything happen.

Also, having been back in the state for about 48 hours, I want to send all Wisconsinites my sympathies that you've had to sit through all of these awful commercials for the last month.  On the flip side, I have very much enjoyed the "Recall Santa - I didn't get what I wanted" yard signs I've seen around Green Bay.

And a prediction?  How about a clean sweep - Walker by 4 and the GOP holds all four Senate seats, even in spite of Terry Moulton and Van Waangaard's efforts to screw that up.  Hope that "more democracy is better" ethos makes a good parachute for the Democrats, because it's a long way to the bottom.